ADYEN:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMAdyen NV analysis
Data as of Oct 16, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- €956.30
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
Adyen N.V. is priced at €956.30 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 6.8%. RSI sits at 61.1, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at €843.50 up to resistance at €966.80.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 26.9 versus a 31.0 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 43.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 18.9% on a 43.6% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 35.8%, a beta of 0.39 and a maximum drawdown of 48.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 26.9 versus a 31.0 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 43.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 18.9% on a 43.6% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 35.8%, a beta of 0.39 and a maximum drawdown of 48.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
Top market events
- H1 net revenue rose 19.00 percent to EUR 1,302.90 million. Adyen stock costs EUR 876.00 on October 9
- Adyen booked EUR 1.30 billion net revenue in the first half of 2026, up 19 percent. Adyen stock cost
- First half of 2026: volume rose 24.00 percent, revenue 19.00 percent. Adyen stock is EUR 907.40 on O
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 968.81
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 26.9 versus sector average of 31.0
- Trading below the 200-day average of 968.81
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 26.9 versus sector average of 31.0
- Analyst targets imply +43.9% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 43.6% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth18.90%
Profit Margin43.55%
P/E Ratio26.9
ROE21.27%
ROA5.24%
Debt/Equity6.93
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash Flow€649.5M
Free Cash Flow€-1190886784
Industry P/E31.0
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI61.1
Support€843.50
Resistance€966.80
MA 20€886.08
MA 50€956.70
MA 200€968.81
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.63
Valuation
Fair Value€751.81
Target Price€1,375.94
Upside/Downside43.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta0.39
Volatility35.84%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.